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It took writing a long picks column to realize why my record was awful last week. And it was BAD. I've been typing things on this website for a while and it's probably the worst week I've had. This isn't an apology it's just me expre sing my annoyance at waiting for Pete Prisco's podcast trap he's been laying since Sunday.This week is a great litmus test for the few weeks moving forward. Is football drifting toward the baseball model? Because the past five years or so, elite MLB teams hit this stretch of the season Desmond Trufant Jersey where they win tons of games. The idea being MLB teams give up and get overpowered by elite spenders like the Dodgers, Yankees, etc. The Dodgers traded for Max Scherzer and Trea Turner this year. The Yankees went budget and added Anthony Rizzo. Even the Giants snagged Kris Bryant.A lot of bad try-hard teams have ma sive spreads against elite teams. I'm curious to see if a gulf is gonna build or if we get the usual swing back from the NFL where standings tighten up. There hasn't been a chaos week yet this season.Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ETTV: Fox, NFL Network |Stream:fuboTV ( )Follow: Latest Odds: Cleveland Browns -2 This is a pretty difficult game to handicap before ooooooohhhh about 6:30 p.m. on Thursday. That's because it will be right around gametime when we know the full extent of George Blanda Jersey who will be available for the Browns and Broncos. and there are some important names on there: , , and many more. I'm of the belief you probably want to wait and see who is active and who isn't before betting this game but right now with the number closer to a pick I'm going to go with the Browns. Full disclosure: I took some Broncos +3.5 and will either come back on the Browns at -1 or ML them to try and get a window. This is a weird game. We'll bet it but won't love it. Don't sleep on the po sibility of sparking some "should Baker be the starter" conversations over the weekend.The pick:Browns 17, Broncos 12Props, Best Bets: over receiving yardsSunday, 1 p.m. ETTV:CBS|Stream:Paramount+ ( ) Latest Odds: Baltimore Ravens -6.5 The Bengals are legit, I think. Their defense is good, particularly against the run. is starting to really come out of the post ACL injury thing. isn't getting enough credit for playing well at LT. And is an absolute monster out there. The Bengals played things right in terms of the draft and it's paying dividends. I'm not sure if I'm 100 percent sold on Zac Taylor as "the guy" yet but Bengals fans shouldn't be either. John Harbaugh is the guy, though, and Baltimore is cooking. is running le s than ever this year, is having a third-year breakout, has returned from injury and looks like a monster out there. I think the Ravens might be flexing on people over the next few weeks.The pick:Baltimore 31, Bengals 17Props, Best Bets: Ravens -6Which picks can you make with confidence, and which contender goes down hard? , and find out. Sunday, 1 p.m. ETTV:CBS|Stream:Paramount+ ( ) Latest Odds: Tenne see Titans +4 Ma sive, emotional win for the Titans on Monday night. They move to 4-2, host another AFC contender they have battled with in Maxx Crosby Jersey the past and get to run out for another 30 carries hoping he can jailbreak a few. The Titans can keep this close if the game goes the way they want it -- low-scoring/matching early, feed Henry, take some shots to A.J. Brown/Julio Jones (a suming both are healthy) and beat up on a bad Chiefs defense. But Kansas City was kind of flying around last week. It was Washington, so caveat away. But we've pa sed the buy-low point for the Chiefs and . They're plus money to win the division, a bet you should absolutely make. And I kind of think they fire up a comeback tour starting here. Give me some heavy road chalk, what could go wrong. Actually I just think if the weapons are healthy they'll find ways to score late against bad defenses like they have the last few weeks.The Pick: Chiefs 31, Titans 21Bets: Chiefs -6.5Sunday, 1 p.m. ETTV:CBS|Stream:Paramount+ ( ) Latest Odds: New England Patriots -7 Bill Belichick and the Pats are down in the dumps. Will that prevent them from thrashing a bad Jets team twice this season? Nope. The Jets are rested and Robert Salah/Zach Wilson have their second look at the Patriots defense. New England's D hasn't been great this year but the offenses its faced have been tough. And Belichick's record against Mike Haynes Jersey rookie/young quarterbacks speaks for itself. Lots of Pats field goals and a similar game to the first one.The Pick: Patriots 24, Jets 10Bets: Pats -7Sunday, 1 p.m. ETTV: Fox|Stream:fuboTV ( ) Latest Odds: Miami Dolphins +1.5 This game stinks out loud on a number of levels. The Dolphins are coming back from London without a bye week. The Falcons are coming back from London ... off their bye week. The Dolphins are being heavily mentioned as a trade candidate for . The chatter appears to be coming from Houston, which means the are trying to force the i sue before the trade deadline. And that will apply significant pre sure to against a bad defense. I kind of think he throws up a big game here to push it back against the Dolphins. Tua wasn't bad in London, he just had an absolutely miserable "maybe I'm out on Tua" interception to the sideline, a to s that showed his lack of arm strength. If the Dolphins can generate pre sure up front, they can win this game against a largely unprotected . I am worried Miami is tired and Ryan/Calvin Ridley/Kyle Pitts lob up bombs but the Falcons shouldn't be favored on the road. The Pick: Dolphins 24, Falcons 21Bets: over yardsSunday, 1 p.m. ETTV: Fox|Stream:fuboTV ( ) Latest Odds: New York Giants +3 No idea how to play the Dave Gettleman Bowl. The Giants obviously can't be favored in any game the rest of the year and are dealing with a ton of injuries. Carolina looked awful last week against a better than average defense. This game could feature 10-15 turnovers from the quarterbacks alone. Both offensive lines are problems. Ultimately it comes down to whether or turns the ball over more. Or le s? One of them will win the turnover battle and that's how this game gets decided. The Panthers defense is definitely better -- if they get a lead, I' Willie Brown Jersey d be worried they can kind of melt clock. But I'll go points at home here.The Pick: Giants 21, Panthers 20Bets:NopeSunday, 1 p.m. ETTV: Fox|Stream:fuboTV ( ) Latest Odds: Green Bay Packers -8.5 Hate this game
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